Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.036513 0.039930 0.043397 0.047170 0.051154 0.055228 0.059705
2025-08-10 0.029319 0.034137 0.039219 0.044951 0.051213 0.057820 0.065293
2025-08-17 0.024810 0.030592 0.036908 0.044259 0.052518 0.061455 0.071801
2025-08-24 0.021269 0.027692 0.034941 0.043616 0.053609 0.064657 0.077695
2025-08-31 0.019365 0.026433 0.034632 0.044676 0.056481 0.069756 0.085659
2025-09-07 0.017754 0.025332 0.034355 0.045641 0.059143 0.074555 0.093255
2025-09-14 0.016204 0.024148 0.033842 0.046212 0.061255 0.078659 0.100021
2025-09-21 0.014819 0.023038 0.033311 0.046664 0.063150 0.082460 0.106408
2025-09-28 0.014030 0.022625 0.033588 0.048061 0.066155 0.087560 0.114329
2025-10-05 0.012422 0.020982 0.032182 0.047252 0.066380 0.089278 0.118196
2025-10-12 0.011313 0.019933 0.031471 0.047260 0.067560 0.092110 0.123373
2025-10-19 0.010597 0.019380 0.031372 0.048017 0.069655 0.096045 0.129882
2025-10-26 0.009838 0.018745 0.031170 0.048681 0.071710 0.100044 0.136632
2025-11-02 0.008351 0.016899 0.029201 0.046916 0.070588 0.100070 0.138507
2025-11-09 0.007414 0.015815 0.028233 0.046442 0.071099 0.102110 0.142858
2025-11-16 0.006551 0.014768 0.027252 0.045893 0.071468 0.103944 0.146938
2025-11-23 0.006219 0.014569 0.027499 0.047045 0.074096 0.108665 0.154657
2025-11-30 0.005881 0.014330 0.027666 0.048071 0.076552 0.113176 0.162134
2025-12-07 0.005470 0.013925 0.027551 0.048675 0.078430 0.116943 0.168685
2025-12-14 0.005064 0.013489 0.027360 0.049149 0.080120 0.120464 0.174937
2025-12-21 0.004898 0.013484 0.027838 0.050597 0.083154 0.125757 0.183473
2025-12-28 0.004282 0.012557 0.026795 0.049763 0.083001 0.126851 0.186624
2026-01-04 0.003883 0.012012 0.026337 0.049771 0.084002 0.129454 0.191715